Loud Thinking

Archive for June, 2021

Respected Mr. Imran Khan Sahab.

AoA.

Sir,

The below write up titled “What next for Pakistan after Afghan peace agreement?” (Annex –  A) is to invite your kind attention towards the fact that Pakistan can only move forward, if:

~ We decide as a nation to keep domestic politics freezed, for say about next 10 years: and simply focus on national development agenda, by involving the entire nation and not keeping any relevant stake holder at bay. In fact, this will put horse (development agenda) before the cart (domestic politics).

~ Involvement of entire population by authentic decentralisation, without mixing any semblance of domestic politics. Our local bodies system has inherent manufacturing defect that the cart (domestic politics) is put before the horse (development). As such, keeping this objective in view, it has been proposed in the 1 March 2020 write up titled “What next for Pakistan after the Afghan peace agreement?” to wind up the current set up of provincial governance system (in a least disruptive manner) to be replaced with a set up of an administrative units.

In view of the fact that after wasting almost three quarters of a century in doldrums, Pakistan must now make up the lost time, without any further delay, because, it is certain that no amount of wealth or resources can develop our country, without first changing the existing decadent system, which was and is, basically designed to serve the elite, at the expense of the teeming millions, turning it into a country of ONLY the rich, FOR the rich BY the rich.
As such, our motherland needs every Pakistanis personal contribution, by way of our intellectual involvement, in bringing a genuine CHANGE of system in Pakistan, focussed on the needs of the have-nots of Pakistan.

Warm Regards,

Syed Nayyar Uddin Ahmad

+ 92 321 9402157

Lahore.

7 March 2020

(Annex – A)

What next for Pakistan after Afghan peace agreement?
We must remember that behind this defeat of the 50 NATO countries alliance in Afghanistan is Pakistan and the biggest proof, evidence, testimony & symbol of their defeat is that the sole super power of the world called the United States of America was forced to sign the peace deal not with its puppet government in Kabul, but with the Afghan Taliban Organization, which USA till date, has not officially recognised.

The defeat of NATO forces and victory of Taliban in Afghanistan war can also be measured with the statement of Dr. Henry Kissinger quoted as below:

Quote:“ The conventional army loses if it does not win. The guerrilla wins if he does not lose.” Unquote.

Moreover, the set back to the Indian designs (of sandwiching Pakistan from two fronts)  far more outweighs its impact, over the western countries. 

For Pakistan, this is a moment of retrospect and thanksgiving to Allah (SWT) Who has blessed us with the total withdrawal of the inimical forces and its operatives, from our western frontiers, which has been achieved by the supreme sacrifices of the hundreds of thousands of Pakistanis blood, under the able civilian and military leadership of the country.

Now, specially India (to safeguard its commercial interests) will need unhindered access through Pakistani land, air and sea space for connecting with the CAR countries. 

Further, the CPEC has suddenly become strategically even more important, for the regional countries of Arab peninsula up to Bangladesh, Indonesia, Vietnam, Australia and NewZealand, for approach to CAR  countries.

In view of the foregoing, now Pakistan can be truly and suddenly turned into the gateway of China and CAR countries, for the this part of the fastest developing nations of the globe.

As such, Pakistanis must UNITE immediately to minimise politics from our body politic; and devote our entire repeat entire energies to aim for the following targets in next 10 years i.e., by the year 2030.

1. 100 % literacy of the population. 

2. 100 % education in population. 

3. 100 % Polio free population. 

4. 100 % toilets in homes.

5. $200 billion per year exports target.

6. 10% GDP growth.

7. 100 % self sufficiency in oil and gas supplies from domestic sources. 

8. Construction of dams for the next 75 year’s water & power needs.

9. 100 % villages to be provided electricity power from renewable power sources and construction of 100% farm to market metalled roads.

10. Radical reforms in the Judicatory, Police and  the Administrative sectors to cope with the modern day needs of the 21st century.

11. Creation of administrative units by eliminating the current governance system based on HUGE sized provinces. In this regard, each division should be called a unit and named as PK-1 to onwards. There should be no set up of governors and chief ministers.  Rather, each unit should be governed by an elected (on non party basis at least for first ten years) person who may be called Ameer or Mayor of the unit.This new set up is necessary, keeping in view of the failure of all other systems and set ups in Pakistan; and considering that decentralisation (not just in name, but in true sense, with total autonomy of all administrative and financial powers) is the main key for extremely fast speed development of Pakistan, with the sole aim of uplifting in ten years, more than 120 million poor people from below the 2 Dollar per day income level of earnings. Else, no civil or military government (led by any honest, sincere and competent leader) with the current system of governance (political, judicial, Police & Administration) can ever deliver for teeming millions of Pakistan, who, unfortunately, are being pushed below the poverty line threshold, with the advent of every new government.As such, CHANGE is the name of the game  for the survival of Pakistan, which has been unfortunately, left behind by ALL the countries of our region. 

Syed Nayyar Uddin Ahmad

1 March 2020

Pakistani Prime minister Mr. Imran Khan informed the world about the policy of NAYA Pakistan under his rule very early in August 2018 that Pakistan will no longer participate in any others war and will only join hands with friends in the partnership of peace. His few minutes talk video is attached for ready reference and watching.

India’s thermonuclear bomb https://tribune.com.pk/story/2070720/6-indias-thermonuclear-bomb/

India is setting the groundwork for a more ambitious hydrogen bomb project at the Rare Materials Plant, 160 miles to the south of Rattehalli, close to the city of Mysore.

It pains me to say that despite writing (dozens of times since the advent of PTI government) directly to the PM Mr. Imran Khan and his (many) Federal Ministers, about the Pakistan’s WORTH and STRATEGIC VALUE of the Rare Earth Metals, there was ZERO Progress.
Attached below are the latest news in the world’s arena, on the subject, which highlights that besides, money, how much a country like Pakistan, can be at the center of the importance of the developed world, if our mineral resources are speedily exploited (specially all 17 REM’s) of above $51 trillion, which can be judged by the fact that the 2018 GDP of the top ten economies of the world was $58 trillion.
Sorry to say that there looks no difference in the attitude of previous and the current government’s in such matters of huge national importance.

1. From Discover on Google https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/malaysia-can-draw-up-to-s33b-in-rare-earths-investment-over-next-10-years-minister
2. From Discover on Google https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-rareearths-pentagon-exclusive/exclusive-pentagon-races-to-track-us-rare-earths-output-amid-china-trade-dispute-idUSKCN1U727N

29 May 2019
Subject:- Strategic importance of Rate Earth Metals wealth of Pakistan

Respected Mr. Imran Khan Sahab.

AoA.

Sir,

Your kind attention is invited towards the following two international news publications of 29 May 2019, about Rare Earth Metals strategic importance (link provided below), as already narrated in some detail vide email dated 23 May 2019 attached below:

1. China gears up to weaponise Rare Earths as trade war..https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2019-05-29/china-gears-up-to-weaponize-rare-earths-dominance-in-trade-war
2. US risks devastating blow from China’s Rare Earth monopoly..https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-29/u-s-risks-devastating-blow-from-china-s-rare-earths-monopoly

In view of the very high strategic importance of the matter, kindly order top most priority for immediate start of work on recovery of mineral wealth of Pakistan, with particular reference to Rare Earth Metals wealth of Pakistan, which deserves much more importance than any other project of the country.

Best Regards,

Syed Nayyar Uddin Ahmad
03219402157
Lahore.

23 May 2019

Subject:- Mr. PM your urgent attention is requested – Pakistan have reserves of REM with much better recovery rate than China – Dr. Imran Khan – China’s rare earth supplies could be vital bargaining chip in U.S. trade war.

Dear Mr. Imran Khan Sahab,

AoA.

Sir,

According to Dr. Imran Khan, (as already informed repeatedly earlier), Pakistan’s worth of mineral wealth, minus oil and gas reserves is over $51 trillion which includes Rare Earth Metals ($53 trillion is the total worth of GDP of the top ten richest nations of the world).

In this regard, we can become top most wealthy nation of the world, if your government starts this project on a fast track basis, under the highly technical and professional guidance of Dr. Imran Khan, who is the only expert having done Geological Survey in Pakistan, India, China and the USA.

In this connection, in order to highlight the economic and strategic importance of the the REM’s; attached below is an article for your kind perusal, published today.

As such, kindly order top most priority for start of work on recovery of mineral wealth of Pakistan, which deserves much more importance than any other project in Pakistan.

China’s rare earth supplies could be vital bargaining chip in U.S. trade war

 Last Updated On 23 May,2019 02:20 pm

Samples of rare earth minerals, Cerium oxide, Bastnasite, Neodymium oxide and Lanthanum carbonate.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Rare earth elements are used in a wide range of consumer products, from iPhones to electric car motors, as well as military jet engines, satellites and lasers.

Rising tensions between the United States and China have sparked concerns that Beijing could use its dominant position as a supplier of rare earths for leverage in the trade war between the two global economic powers.

WHAT ARE RARE EARTHS USED IN?

Rare earths are used in rechargeable batteries for electric and hybrid cars, advanced ceramics, computers, DVD players, wind turbines, catalysts in cars and oil refineries, monitors, televisions, lighting, lasers, fiber optics, superconductors and glass polishing.

Several rare earth elements, such as neodymium and dysprosium, are critical to the motors used in electric vehicles.

RARE EARTHS IN MILITARY EQUIPMENT

Some rare earth minerals are essential in military equipment such as jet engines, missile guidance systems, antimissile defense systems, satellites, as well as in lasers.

Lanthanum, for example, is needed to manufacture night vision devices.

The U.S. Defense Department accounts for about 1% of U.S. demand, which in turn accounts for about 9% of global demand for rare earths, according to a 2016 report from the congressional U.S. Government Accountability Office.

A front-end loader is used to move material inside the open pit at Molycorp’s Mountain Pass Rare Earth facility in Mountain Pass

WHICH COMPANIES ARE MOST DEPENDENT ON CHINESE SUPPLIES?

Companies such as Raytheon Co, Lockheed Martin Corp and BAE Systems Plc all make sophisticated missiles that use rare earths metals in their guidance systems, and sensors. Lockheed and BAE declined to comment. Raytheon did not respond to a request for comment.

Apple Inc uses rare earth elements in speakers, cameras and the so-called “haptic” engines that make its phones vibrate.

The company says the elements are not available from traditional recyclers because they are used in such small amounts they cannot be recovered.

Since 2010, the government and private industry have built up stockpiles of rare earths and components that use them, according to Eugene Gholz, a former senior Pentagon supply chain expert, who teaches at the University of Notre Dame.

Some suppliers have scaled back their use of such elements, he said.

                  A bastnaesite mineral containing rare earth 

WHAT ARE RARE EARTHS AND WHERE DO THEY OCCUR?

Rare earth metals are a group of 17 elements – lanthanum, cerium, praseodymium, neodymium, promethium, samarium, europium, gadolinium, terbium, dysprosium, holmium, erbium, thulium, ytterbium, lutetium, scandium, yttrium – that appear in low concentrations in the ground.

Although they are more abundant than their name implies, they are difficult and costly to mine and process cleanly. China hosts most of the world’s processing capacity and supplied 80% of the rare earths imported by the United States from 2014 to 2017. In 2017, China accounted for 81% of the world’s rare earth production, data from the U.S. Geological Survey showed.

Importers made limited efforts to reduce rare earth consumption and dependence on China after a diplomatic dispute between China and Japan in 2010. Japan accused China of halting rare earth supplies for political reasons, sparking recognition worldwide of the risks of dependence on one supplier. China denied it had halted supplies.

Few alternative suppliers were able to compete with China, which is home to 37% of global rare earths reserves.

California’s Mountain Pass mine is the only operating U.S. rare earths facility. But MP Materials, owner of Mountain Pass, ships the roughly 50,000 tonnes of rare earth concentrate it extracts each year from California to China for processing.

China has imposed a tariff of 25% on those imports during the trade war.

Australia’s Lynas Corporation Ltd this week said it signed a memorandum of understanding with Texas-based Blue Line Corp to build a rare earth processing facility in the United States.

Rare earths are also mined in India, South Africa, Canada, Australia, Estonia, Malaysia and Brazil.

HOW ARE RARE EARTHS AFFECTED BY U.S. TARIFFS?

So far, the U.S. government has exempted rare earths from tariffs on Chinese goods.

OPTIONS TO REDUCE RELIANCE ON CHINESE IMPORTS

U.S. senators introduced legislation in May to encourage development of domestic supplies.

Recycling has also emerged as a potential source for rare earth minerals.

Nebraska-based Rare Earth Salts is taking old fluorescent light tubes and recycling them for their rare earth elements, which comprise about 20 percent of the bulb, according to the Association of Lamp and Mercury Recyclers.

Best Regards,

Syed Nayyar Uddin Ahmad
03219402157
Lahore.