Archive for the ‘World Bank Affairs’ Category
Why not a Marshall plan for Pakistan?
IMF and Argentinian financial melt down.
The story of Argentina’s financial melt down reported today, as below:
[Argentina faces March deadline to Pay $ 30 billion.
Link:- https://www.dawn.com/news/1535971/argentina-faces-march-deadline-to-pay-30bn
Argentina is battling to avoid another situation like 2001 when it defaulted on $100bn, becoming a market pariah.
The country currently owes $311bn – more than 90 per cent of its GDP.
It’s hoping to renegotiate $195 billion, including the $44 billion it owes the IMF.]
is a clear warning and writing on the wall, which loudly announces that international loans are a sure recipe for financial disaster, economic melt down and bankruptcy of any nation, more so Pakistan, which is (for about 40 years) under unabated shadows of war and terrorism since 25 December 1979, when the USSR invaded Afghanistan and about which our own governor SBP said on 20 February 2020 that Pakistan stood with Afghanistan, Sudan, Yemen and Ethiopia in terms of exports adding that with this trend, no country could be run successfully. The authenticity of Reza Baqir’s statement can be gauged with the fact that as on today (22 February 2020):
- One PKR was equal to 0.50 Afghani
- One PKR was equal to
0.34 Sudanese pound - 0.62 PKR was equal to 1 Yemeni Rial
- 4.87 PKR was equal to 1 Ethiopian Birr
In this regard, I have personally requested Dr. Zubair Khan [ who has approached the Supreme Court against very high interest rate of 13.25% https://tribune.com.pk/story/2159153/2-ex-imf-official-challenges-high-interest-rate-sc/?amp=1 ] to also take up the matter with IMF and the Supreme Court that although, Pakistan took IMF loans to repay their old loans, yet, IMF is charging service charges ($51.6 million over $6 billion) besides the INTEREST on its loans.
As such, Pakistan must immediately inform the IMF that under the circumstances the service charges must not be demanded from Pakistan, as a special case and in recognition of its almost four decades of sacrifices, as a front line state against the world’s war on terror in Afghanistan, resulting in almost a trillion dollars accumulated loss to its economy and opportunity costs, incurred for almost four decades, which also resulted in deaths of about seventy thousand civil and military persons and severe injuries to about three times of the fatalities.
In view of the foregoing, it is incumbent upon the world community to collectively help Pakistan, rebuild its total infrastructure, with a Marshall plan type scheme, to turn this country (which didn’t even demand overflight charges of about $400 billion from America and 49 other NATO countries in 40 years war on terror) into a bastion of peace and tranquility in the whole region, rather than again ditching Pakistan, as was done after the withdrawal of the Soviet forces from Afghanistan.
A clarion call to PM Imran Khan
Respected Mr. Imran Khan Sahab.
AoA.
Sir,
Your kind attention is invited towards the following link of a news item published by the daily “Telegraph” on 3 December 2019:
Link:- https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/12/03/pakistani-tycoon-hands-50m-london-house-140m-accounts-record/
Your kind attention is also invited towards the following two paragraphs of the above mentioned news link:
1. The deal with the family of Malik Riaz Hussain did not find any guilt and will see the money “returned to the State of Pakistan,” a statement said.
2. He (Malik Riaz) said after Tuesday’s settlement was announced: “I sold our legal and declared property in UK to pay £190m to Supreme Court Pakistan against Bahria Town Karachi.
Mr. Prime Minister, it is clear without any doubt from the above news that the NCA of U.K. will return $190 million (confiscated from Malik Riaz Hussain in U.K.) straightaway to STATE OF PAKISTAN.
Sir, you as the top most custodian of every penny of the State of Pakistan must ensure that this recovery proceed of £ 190 million being handed over to the GoP by the NCA of U.K. is NOT returned back to Malik Riaz Hussain (on any pretext) and no one in your government is allowed by any trick or logic to AGAIN cheat the State of Pakistan, as already this £190 million was once stolen out of Pakistan.
Last but not the least, this nation of 220 million population specially thanks you for bringing back from overseas, its looted money, which was also the fulfilment of your biggest promise with the nation, for which you and your party deserves profound congratulations. Remember, Modi despite his tall claims, could not bring back a single penny, during his sixth year of continuous rule in India.
Best Regards,
Syed Nayyar Uddin Ahmad
PTI government is not for the poor of the poor by the poor..!
Respected Mr. Imran Khan Sahab
AoA.
Sir,
The entire nation bows it’s head before Allah (SWT) for your historic and extremely successful meetings with American leadership; and Pakistani diaspora in the USA, which has united the nation, in a manner witnessed earlier only once, when under your leadership, our team won the 1992 Cricket World Cup.
We all know that the sole aim and vision and mission of your life and the reason you joined politics, is to economically emancipate the teeming millions of Pakistan, who have been deprived of the bare minimum facilities and requirements of life.
These poorest of the poor 130-140 million Pakistanis, who are not able to earn even $1.90 per day (minimum world level poverty benchmark), firmly believe in your words that soon you will uplift them from poverty, at a speed faster than the Chinese attained success, in the same case.
In this regard, your efforts in launching EHSAS program and other such steps are good, but it will hardly make any visible impact in genuine relief for the poor population, because this continued poverty is the insurance for the affluence of the elite class (controlling every power and authority) in Pakistan, who thrive on corruption, special agreements (like IPP contracts and idle capacity payments in the USD on LNG terminals without any logic) amnesty schemes, devaluation of currency, theft of utilities and manipulations in terms of foreign/domestic loans, bank loan waivers etc. Just for your information you may check why $8.6 million was withheld by the IMF when it disbursed $1.0 billion tranche of loan to Pakistan, few weeks back.
However, today it was really a heartening news that your government is expected to appoint a specialised inquiry commission to examine the prudence of capacity payments, currency indexation and higher than permissible returns to all the IPPs.
Link:- https://www.dawn.com/news/1496516/inquiry-commission-proposed-to-examine-profits-of-ipps
In this connection, Dr. Ikramul Haq (advocate Supreme Court and International tax expert) has very aptly explained the crux of the mother of all reasons, for the continued poverty in Pakistan, in his article published by the daily “Business Recorder” dated 26 July 2019 titled “Making tax system functional”.
The relevant para of the above article is reproduced below:
Quote:
“The State needs to wage an all-out war against burgeoning black economy, money power and corrupt politico-administrative structures. This war must start from the mighty classes. The people of Pakistan have a right to know how these mighty sections of society amassed immense wealth without paying their due taxes.” Unquote.
Link:- https://fp.brecorder.com/2019/07/20190726500277/
Sir, in view of the foregoing, it is earnestly requested that as per the need of the hour, to strike at the system which feeds the elite class on the sweat and blood of the poor of our country; an Inquiry Commission under the chairmanship of Dr. Ikramul Haq may be formed to submit its findings and solutions on the fact that “How these mighty sections of society amassed immense wealth without paying their due taxes”.
Sir, unless you and your government has the tenacity and the will to wage an all-out war against the burgeoning black economy, money power and corrupt politico-administrative structures, no amount of interest free loans or EHSAS programs are going to liberate the down trodden Pakistanis, and mind you Sir, you are considered as the last hope, who can economically and in true sense, emancipate our teeming millions, whose numbers, unfortunately, have increased not decreased, in your past 11 months of government.
Best Regards,
Syed Nayyar Uddin Ahmad
How to stop an impending financial meltdown?
18 May 2019
Dear Mr. Imran Khan Sahab.
AoA.
Sir,
The current shattered state of economy of Pakistan, wherein, daily steep and unprecedented devaluation of PKR versus the USD, whose interbank rate was higher than the forex market rate a few days back and the Bloomberg has rated PKR as the worst performing currency of Asia, regularly crashing of stock exchange market, unimaginable jump in prices of daily items of use like lemon being sold at Rs.400 per KG, increase in rates of utilities on an unending and continuous basis, exponentially increasing costs of health and education, reflects only one thing that there was now virtually no effective government in Pakistan, to protect the rights of the hapless Pakistani masses from the tricks and vagaries of traders, businessmen, industrialists and bureaucracy of the country.
Sir, the entire population of Pakistan is in severe shock, depression and despondency, due to this sudden economic crisis, severely affecting every Pakistani who is desperately looking towards you as a competent and honest leader and above all a saviour of the rights of the masses of the Pakistanis to act, and act fast to the stem the rot, before this crisis turns into an economic meltdown.
According to Britannica.com “Public authorities face a variety of crises, such as natural disasters and environmental threats, financial meltdowns and terrorist attacks, epidemics and explosions, and information and communication technology (ICT) failures. Crises are not routine events (such as fires or traffic accidents). Crises are inconceivable events that often take politicians, citizens, and reporters by complete surprise. Crises occur when a community of people—an organization, a town, or a nation—perceives an urgent threat to core values or life-sustaining functions that must be urgently dealt with under conditions of deep uncertainty.”
Britannica.com further states that “These dramatic events create tough challenges for public authorities and their organizations. Critical decisions must be made and implemented under considerable time pressure and in the absence of essential information about causes and consequences. Even if the conditions for effective action are severely impeded, citizens expect governmental leaders and public authorities to safeguard them from the threat at hand.”
As such, extraordinary situations demands extraordinary steps.
Under the current scenario the people are fed up and no more ready to listen that Pakistan is suffering severe economic problems due to the loot and plunder of the past decade’s rulers, simply, because now Mr. Imran Khan is the ruler; and if any economic crime was committed in the past, why the responsible politicians, businessmen and bureaucrats are not arrested, their properties not confiscated and the national criminals put behind the bars, as yet, on any of such economic crime charges, by the PTI government?
People also ask why all past government players are roaming free (if they committed economic crimes) and entire burden of the economic crisis has been passed over to the masses, very conveniently by the PTI government?
Does the PTI government wants to punish the poor masses for voting it to rule over the country, without taking to task even a single person of the past regimes for its economic crimes?
Moreover, PTI’s government can not absolve itself of all its responsibilities to improve the economic conditions of the masses, by going the easy and most cruel way of simply increasing rent, rates and taxes and devaluing the currency and then asking the people to give sacrifices, while people’s representatives are enjoying all the fruits of being in power.
People also ask why the PTI government has failed to reduce the massive/huge expenditures on the bureaucratic establishment and why advisors of the cabinet failed on their jobs and even then they have not been removed?
Why absolute austerity is not mandated in the government affairs by law, in these times of severe economic crunch?
Why people are not being told about the past government’s spendings of the huge foreign loans?
Why the energy audit of the IPP’s decided by the cabinet in its first meeting under Mr. Imran Khan as PM, has not yet been conducted?
In view of the foregoing crisis, created under PTI’s tenure of government, you may take all matters in your own hands, declare an economic or national emergency and form an Emergency Advisory Council of Pakistan (EACP) to:
~Devise, execute and monitor all related policies for economic turn around of Pakistan in the shortest possible time
~Immediate steps for stopping of funds leakages. In this regard the World Bank has already estimated about $18bn annual loss to Pakistan economy due to inefficient power sector, the World Bank has warned the government against increasing power rates as a tool to address fiscal challenges in the sector.
~ Immediate steps for reviving industry, agriculture, trade and business with particular reference to services and IT sectors
~ Immediate steps for drastically reducing imports and doubling the exports
~Generation of additional revenues
This EACP should act like a war cabinet of the PM of Pakistan, as the current economic crisis is no less grave in its devastation, than a full fledged war. The following world renowned eminent experts, impeccably honest, highly capable and reputed personalities of Pakistan may be considered for the membership of the EACP, with the status of the federal minister:
1. Dr. Ashrfaq Ahmad Khan.
2. Dr. Ikram ul Haq, who is an international tax expert also.
3. Mr. Shahid Sattar, who is also an international expert on energy related matters.
4. Dr. Salman Shah.
5. Dr. Muhammad Zubair.
6. Dr. Kaiser Bengali.
7. Mr. Shahid Kardar.
8. Mr. Nadeem ul Haq.
9. Mr. Hafeez Pasha
10. Dr. Atta-ur-Rahman
11. Mr. Asif Sharif
Best Regards,
Syed Nayyar Uddin Ahmad
Mr. PM self goal is an unpardonable act..!
20 October 2018
Subject:- IMF loan is like scoring self goal..!
Dear Mr. Imran Khan Sahab,
AoA.
Sir,
It is really baffling to comprehend that the government of PTI and its Finance team is only looking towards the governments of Kingdom of Saudia Arabia and China (as a last resort) to help Pakistan meet its requirements of foreign exchange, before finally going to the IMF for loan.
Sir, let me once again inform you that the conditions of getting loans from IMF has all the potential to destabilise your government sooner than later, by making it highly unpopular among the masses, due to back breaking increase in rates of utilities, which will push further millions of lower middle class, to upper level of poverty and poor class to the abject poverty level.
In view of the foregoing, you are once again requested to kindly replace your entire Finance team (which has no capacity to go beyond easy way outs) and give the highly challenging task to a new team led by a dynamic man like Faisal Vawda, to avert the national financial crisis, by considering following out of the box suggestions, to take Pakistan out of its straitjacket.
1 (a). Pakistan was economically devastated in fighting the American/NATO imposed War on Terror (as a front line State) suffering over $ one trillion losses in the shape of losses of human lives, financial and opportunity costs and damages to its goodwill and infrastructure; one example of which is that during this period Bangladesh moved ahead in education, family planning (1% population growth) and exports (45 billion USD/ year) which consisted mainly of textiles, by getting competitive edge over our textile industry, with zero percent tax for BD produced textile items (in developed countries) like towels and bedsheets etc., while Pakistani textiles were charged 20% tax, resultantly our products became uncompetitive and exports reduced from 25 billion USD to 20 billion USD per year.
1(b). In view of the foregoing, rather than going for borrowing from IMF we should seek (with diplomatic help as well) a moratorium on repayment of loans for five years and side by side implement the following scheme, to build up our foreign exchange reserves, so that economic crisis could be overcome with some out of box thinking to tackle the economic crisis from both supply and demand sides:
1(C). Immediate launching of a scheme for payment of 3% to 5% PA profit (payable bi-annually) on Foreign Currency bank deposits in Pakistan (backed by the sovereign guarantee of the GoP) with a suitable, but attractive fixed period, as suggested below:
~3% PA profit on deposits up to 2 million USD.
~3.5% Profit on deposits over 2 million USD and up to 3 million USD.
~4% profit on deposits over 3 million USD and up to 4 million USD.
~4.5% profit on deposits over 4 million USD and up to 5 million USD.
~5% profit on deposits over 5 million USD.
~The profits on the above scheme should be payable in the USD and should be exempted from ALL taxes and other deductions, as is also the case with Euro and Sukook Bonds, issued by the GoP.
This is a fool proof scheme, sans any risk, [if at all if fails, government will bear no loss] which can boost up our foreign reserves, in a very short time, on extremely cheap rates, as compared to the foreign loans and international bonds, which were sold by the previous government of PMLN, at even 8.25% interest rates: plus undisclosed Tax Exemptions of at least minimum benefits of around 7% (Pakistan will be repaying USD 910 million for USD 500 million Euro Bonds) for which the then PM Mian Nawaz Sharif was requested to hold an inquiry, to fix the responsibility of the culprit(s), who allowed the sale of Euro Bonds, on such a criminally high interest rates.
2. Pakistan may approach REBO Bank and IDB which offer funding at extremely low interest rates of 1% and 2% respectively. Here it must be remembered that although, IMF needs 0.9% interest to cover expenses on loans, yet, harsh conditions it charged 3% interest to Pakistan on its last loan to Pakistan.
3. Pakistan may have tried to get funds from the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), which is operated from Beijing, China.
4. We may consider pledging gold with China or any suitable country for obtaining loan against gold, as India did in July 1991, when Reserve Bank of India pledged 46.91 tonnes of gold with the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan to raise $400 million.
5. As detailed proposal has already been submitted to you vide emails titled “Suggestions to recover Pakistani wealth stashed abroad” link:- https://www.snayyar.com/suggestions-to-recover-pakistani-wealth-stashed-abroad.html#sthash.mBhTyTki.dpbs
6. Billions of USD can be easily generated by selling the government lands recently taken back from the encroachers or the government may consider selling the prime properties of President House, vast chunks from the hundreds of Kanals of PM House, the Governor House Lahore or the Prime value land of GOR-1 in Lahore, where in a suitable area, a luxurious world class residential tower can be built, for the residence of the government officers.
Best Regards,
Syed Nayyar Uddin Ahmad
Is the party really over?
Party is over?
Mr. Cyril Almeida deserve full kudos for writing today a gem of an article titled “The road to nowhere” which shall be remembered by the posterity as one of his best, specially his words “the pantomime on Day 100 was ruthlessly exposed on Day 101”.
In my opinion if PM Mr. Imran Khan does not immediately reshuffle his finance team, the party will be over sooner than later.
If ideology of any ruling party is out of sync with its financial policies, it is not only doomed, but immediately thrown out from the hearts and minds of its own supporters.
PTI won on the promise of reducing poverty (and not minimising corruption as is wrongly perceived because reduction of corruption is not an end, but a means, to minimise poverty) which has increased astronomically in the 101 days of the PT’s era, by obviously induced devaluations, to just please the IMF for implementing its wrong theory that salvation of economy lies in devaluation of currency.
Today, PTI is more unpopular and destroyed by even not yet taking the IMF loan, than the PMLn and PPP were, after actually taking the IMF loan.
The entire leadership of PTI must know that it’s party, honeymoon or pantomime is over, after it committed harakiri, on the day 101 of its rule; and the rest is just, completing its tenure.
Now for PPP, it is a golden chance to resurrect and stage a dramatic comeback on national level, by sacrificing bygone era faces of top leadership.
How to get $ 20 billion for Pakistan?
If India can fetch 34 billion dollars in 2013, Pakistan in 2018 can also easily get $ 20 billion, by this scheme in which even foreign banks give loans at 1% to expatriates for investing in home country, at much higher rates.
If India can do it in 2013 why can’t State Bank of Pakistan lure inflows of billions of dollars through discounted foreign-currency swaps or IMF is the only panacea for our economic woes?
In 2013, the Indian central bank lured inflows of about $34 billion through discounted foreign-currency swaps, helping lift the
rupee from a record low.
Link:- https://m.timesofindia.com/business/india-business/worried-about-rupee-government-mulls-tapping-nris/articleshow/65753431.cms
Syed Nayyar Uddin Ahmad
03219402157
Lahore.
FCNR swap deal: What it means for NRIs
Recently the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced several measures to stabilize the Indian
rupee against the US dollar. Among them was a swap deal on FCNR deposits where the RBI has opened a window to the banks to swap fresh FCNR dollar funds, mobilised for a minimum term of three years at a fixed rate of 3.5% per annum for the tenor of the deposit. The swap window will be open until November 30, 2013.
What does this mean and will it impact Non Resident Indians investing in FCNR (B) deposits? We find out.
What is an FCNR account?
An FCNR account is a term deposit account that can be maintained by NRIs and PIOs in foreign currency. This account can be a good option for Non Resident Indians (NRIs) looking to invest in India without worrying about currency risks.
The funds in an FCNR account must necessarily come from your overseas funds. FCNR deposits can be maintained in ‘permitted currency’ which means any a foreign currency which is freely convertible and includes US dollar, Pound Sterling (GBP), Euro, Japanese Yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, Danish Krone, Swiss Frank and Swedish Krona among others.
What are the features of FCNR accounts?
You can open an FCNR account for a minimum term of 1 year and maximum term of 5 years. The interest rates vary between terms and from currency to currency. Rates may also vary between banks. For instance, the rate for a 1 year FCNR deposit in US dollar would be in the range of 3-4% while the same for a deposit in Australian dollar would be 6-7%.
This interest is tax free in India. However, you may be subject to tax in the country of your residence for such interest.
Balances in FCNR can be freely repatriated outside India. You can also use the balance in FCNR account for making local payments in India.
How do banks manage FCNR funds?
Banks raise FCNR funds in various foreign currencies. They then sell the foreign currency in exchange for Indian rupees at the prevailing exchange rate and use the Indian rupees for domestic lending. When the FCNR deposit becomes due for maturity, banks would need foreign currency to pay the depositor. Waiting until the date of maturity to purchase foreign currency would leave the bank open to exchange rate risk. In order to protect this risk, banks hedge their FCNR commitments by entering into forward contracts. To explain with an example, if an FCNR deposit was opened today for a term of 1 year, the bank would enter into a forward contract to buy the foreign currency after a year at a fixed exchange rate. Currently the forward rate is at a premium of around 7% per annum. That means, if the exchange rate today is Rs 65 per dollar, banks would enter into a forward contract to buy the dollar at Rs 69.55 per dollar. This way, the bank hedges any uncertainty arising out of exchange rate risk.
What is the FCNR swap deal?
The swap deal was introduced as a means to encourage banks to attract more US dollars into India. The RBI has promised banks a forward rate at a premium of 3.5% per annum for all fresh 3-year FCNR deposits raised between now and November 30, 2013. So instead of hedging at the rate of 7% per annum, banks are getting this swap deal at 3.5% per annum. This acts as an incentive for banks to raise fresh FCNR funds as it lowers the cost of hedging.
This swap deal is open until November 30, 2013 and only for deposits opened in US dollar for a period of over 3 years.
Will this benefit NRIs?
NRIs are likely to be swarmed with offers from banks to open FCNR deposits. For an NRI, the FCNR deposit itself can be an attractive proposition because the interest rates on US dollar deposits are in the range of 3-4% per annum as compared with rates as low as 1% in the US. Further, this interest is tax free in India and there is no currency risk.
The swap deal may not necessarily impact NRIs directly unless banks decide to share their gains and increase the interest rates on these deposits.
However, according to reports, what is happening is that foreign banks are rushing to lend funds to NRIs who can invest the money into FCNR deposits. For instance, an NRI would invest $100 of his own funds and borrow $400 from the US branch of his bank. The interest rate on the loan would be say 1%. The NRI would then open an FCNR account in the Indian branch of the bank and earn interest of 4%. At the end of year 1, he would make a total interest of 4% on his own funds of $100 and a net interest of 3% on the borrowed funds of $400. That makes a total interest of $16 or 16% of the original investment. For banks too, this is a win-win as their loan gets covered by the FCNR deposit and they get access to funds at a lower cost.
Link:- FCNR swap deal: What it means for NRIs – Times of India https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/nri/other-news/FCNR-swap-deal-What-it-means-for-NRIs/articleshow/23309748.cms
Syed Nayyar Uddin Ahmad
03219402157
Lahore.
Credibility of a statesman..!
Subject:-Credibility of any statesman and leader is the most priceless asset, which must never be compromised under any circumstances.
Dear Mr. Imran Khan Sahab.
AoA.
Sir,
Mr. Muhammad Zubair ex. Governor Sindh tonight offered in the ARY News program titled “Power Play” that he can arrange for PTI government, deferment of IMF’s loan repayments for one year.
In this regard, your kind attention is invited towards my proposal (emailed on 10 October 2018) for seeking moratorium on payment of loan instalments from IMF titled “Mr. Prime Minister we have seven other options to avoid IMF loan” posted on 14 October 2018 at www.snayyar.com
link:-
The details of the one of the seven options to avoid IMF loans are quoted as below:
Quote:
“1 (a). Pakistan was economically devastated in fighting the American/NATO imposed War on Terror (as a front line State) suffering over $ one trillion losses in the shape of losses of human lives, financial and opportunity costs and damages to its goodwill and infrastructure; one example of which is that during this period Bangladesh moved ahead in education, family planning (1% population growth) and exports (45 billion USD/ year) which consisted mainly of textiles, by getting competitive edge over our textile industry, with zero percent tax for BD produced textile items (in developed countries) like towels and bedsheets etc., while Pakistani textiles were charged 20% tax, resultantly our products became uncompetitive and exports reduced from 25 billion USD to 20 billion USD per year.
1(b). In view of the foregoing, rather than going for borrowing from IMF we should seek (with diplomatic help as well) a moratorium on repayment of loans for five years and side by side implement the following scheme, to build up our foreign exchange reserves, so that economic crisis could be overcome with some out of box thinking to tackle the economic crisis from both supply and demand sides:” Unquote.
In this regard, when your government officials sings the mantra in unison that government has no other option except to resort for loans from the IMF, it leaves an adverse impression that government has decided for not to explore any other available option (which are many) and all the anti-poor pre-conditions of loans from the IMF will be accepted, without any hesitation, considering it, as the most easy option, leaving the poor in the lurch.
As such, necessary orders may be issued to all the concerned in the Finance Ministry to submit you a detailed report, why all other available options were not explored, before deciding to accept the loans from the IMF, which torpedoed your stated policy of never seeking loans from the IMF.
Credibility of any statesman and leader is the most priceless asset, which must never be compromised, under any circumstances.
Best Regards,
Syed Nayyar Uddin Ahmad
Best and easiest way to build foreign exchange reserves..!
Fastest way to immediately fill the coffers of Pakistan with Foreign Exchange Reserves:
Immediate launching of a scheme for payment of 3% PA profit (payable bi-annually) on Foreign Currency bank deposits in Pakistan (backed by the sovereign guarantee of the GoP) with a suitable, but attractive fixed period, say five years.
This is a fool proof scheme, sans any risk, which can boost up our foreign reserves, in a very short time, on extremely cheap rates, as compared to the foreign loans with STRICT conditions where even it is reported that PMLN government obtained loans from China at 6% interest and in some cases 8% insurance charges= 14%) and international bonds, which were sold by the previous government of PMLN, at even 8.25% interest rates (Pakistan will be repaying USD 910 million for USD 500 million Euro Bonds) for which the then PM Mian Nawaz Sharif was requested to hold an inquiry, to fix the responsibility of the culprit(s), who allowed the sale of Euro Bonds, on such a criminally high interest rates.
How to combat economic terrorism within Pakistan?
We can compare the fluctuations in stock market rates with the currency rates in the forex market, the same way as a corporation’s stock reflects the public opinion of the corporation’s worth; the currency of a nation tends to reflect how the world market values the economic prospects and the future of a country in relation to other countries.
If a company (read country) is doing well, with increasing earnings and higher dividends to its stockholders, the stock of that company will tend to appreciate.
We Pakistanis must know, that without any doubt, the easiest and surest way of moving ahead, is to stand on our own feet.
Foreign aid/loans, can keep us afloat, but won’t allow us to swim. Actually, in constant homegrown methods of growth and development, lies our salvation.
Now, the time has come to separate the growth and development in the sectors of education, health, eradication of poverty, environment protection, human development, conservation of water resources and security of Pakistan, from the politics, forever. Politics and these issues of life and death can not go together.
In this regard, we can not put cart before the horse, which means that economic emancipation of the teeming millions and Pakistan’s financial stability, should be the top most priority, over all other subjects including the democracy, which can wait, after so much waste (over 70 years) of time and resources.
Even democracy can never deliver without its foundations truly embedded, in rock solid and inevitable local bodies system.
It is just a false propaganda of the beneficiaries of the democracy (oligarchs) that if allowed continuity, democracy can work and deliver from the assemblies and senate, without genuinely and financially autonomous grass roots level, fully empowered local bodies system; and not the sham local bodies system, currently prevalent in every province of Pakistan, very reluctantly allowed by the politicians, albeit, on the repeated orders of the Supreme Court.
If Pakistan has to be governed and developed with the current system of few provinces of huge areas having large populations, then it immediately needs a revamped and fully empowered local bodies or COUNTY system; else, we will have to convert every division, into a political and financial autonomous administrative units under the same name and boundaries of the current four provinces, so that no one can politically incite the people (for their own vested interest) in the name of division of a particular province. In this way the name of provinces will stay without any changes in its boundaries, but the current civil divisions can be converted into autonomous administrative units, working with full fiscal independence.
In the meantime, a referendum may also be held to decide about switching towards the presidential form of government.
Further, the biggest reason in the collapse of our economy has been the higher than the highest level of corruption which has created an impression and culture, which ensures that the crime of corruption pays and is an acceptable norm of our society; plus the judicial system which has miserably failed to genuinely punish the big wigs (even if they are found guilty by the court of law) who are caught on corruption or criminal charges of even day light murders, while providing such top level culprits so much facilities (even permission to travel abroad on humanitarian grounds) during trials and after conviction, like the facilities of house arrests and stay at five star hospitals (during the jail terms) that it motivates others, to always indulge in mega corruption and other major criminal activities with impunity.
The level of mega corruption, in fact, puts Pakistan at the top of the most corrupt nation’s league in the world, whose government level financial irregularities are almost double its size of the budget, as depicted from the news quoted below:
Quote.
“The Auditor General of Pakistan (AGP), Javaid Jahangir, has claimed that during the audit year 2017-18 auditors pointed out irregularities amounting to Rs8.276 trillion in the accounts of the federal government.
It may be mentioned that this figure is almost double the amount allocated for the fiscal year’s federal budget that is Rs4.75tr.”
Unquote.
Link:- https://www.dawn.com/news/1402111
We must re-vamp our judicial system to kill the notion that it always ultimately pays to indulge in mega corruption in Pakistan.
Until and unless, the culture of our country which loudly announces that crime of corruption pays in Pakistan, is not changed with radical steps of zero tolerance and no leniency, in (corruption cases) court trials and jail sentences; and severe punishments like DEATH SENTENCES are awarded in the corruption crimes, we will remain a Banana Republic of the worst category.
Under the circumstances, if certain basic changes in our political and judicial systems are not incorporated in our constitution, no dictator or even best of the best civilian leadership or political party, with all the good intentions, can deliver and succeed in pulling out this country, from the abyss.
It has been a good political tactics in the past by all and sundry, particularly by those at the helm of the affairs, to divert the attention of the masses, from the real issues, by mud slinging on politicians, civil and military servants, judges etc.
However, now we must put a full stop to this non-sense, which has wasted the entire 71 years life of Pakistan.
Nothing can match the benefits of the collective wisdom. Since, its a matter of impending economic collapse of the country, impetus for which is being provided by the numerous and rapid devaluations of the currency, since December 2017, which obviously is a sure recipe of disaster, for which all of us are responsible, in one way or the other: almost no one is exempt from the charge of hurting the cause of the country.
It looks that a certain gang of oligarchs within ourselves, is forcing Pakistan (by design) to irreversible bankruptcy disaster, as if, to punish Pakistan, for its some unpardonable crime.
As such, we should take each and every segment and political/social force of the society in confidence, for a very transparent scheme of our future development.
In this connection, Mr. Steve Maraboli has very appropriately said that “Make a pact with yourself today to not be defined by your past. Sometimes the greatest thing to come out of all your hard work isn’t what you get for it, but what you become for it. Shake things up today! Be You… Be Free… Share.”
Let us unitedly, build a new economically strong and politically stable Pakistan, with our collective and prudent decisions; knowing very well that no political party, group or institution is so strong, to run this country, single handedly, for a sustainable period, without the help and cooperation of each other.
Our urgent task must be to stem the economic rot immediately and on EMERGENCY basis.
Government of Pakistan (GoP) must be duly warned that rapid devaluation of the PKR is no panacea for the economic stability and amnesty schemes are factually and cruelly legalising crimes of the 1% rich at the expense of the 99% poor Pakistanis. Moreover, the latest amnesty scheme is so smartly designed that if we deposit 2% (Rupees 4 Crore) of say PKR 2 billion, we can even protect/legalise our FUTURE corruption of PKR 196 crore. Technically speaking the latest amnesty scheme can easily be used to whiten black money to be earned in future, as well.
Moreover, in Pakistan, we can easily control our expenses, if the following statement is adopted as a motto/mission; and implemented as an official policy, and is also displayed in the offices of the civil and military bureaucracy, just below the portrait of Quaid-e-Azam Muhammad Ali Jinnah Sahab:
“Recall the face of the poorest and the weakest man whom you may have seen and ask yourself if the step you contemplate is going to be of any use to him.”
In this regard, it is suggested that, we should AIM to bring Pakistan, to the level of Singapore of 2018, by the year 2040.
All politics and other considerations should be made subservient to this TARGET for 2040, even if we have to abolish weekly holidays for the next 20 years & reduce our daily sleeping time to 6 hours.
All stake holders, particularly, from the deprived sections of the society in Pakistan, must immediately come forward, for deciding about the direction of the future of the nation.
Biggest factor in any victory is self-confidence. Anti-thesis of terrorism is education, coupled with economic emancipation. But it must be remembered that no country or society has ever risen from ashes, without individual and collective sacrifices, hard work and discipline, for example Germany, Japan, China, Korea, Turkey and Malaysia. Basically these nations did not waste their time on feeding precious resources to top level democracy which automatically breeds oligarchy.
[Oligarchy is a form of power structure in which power rests with a small number of people. These people may be distinguished by nobility, wealth, family ties, education or corporate, religious or military control. Such states are often controlled by families who typically pass their influence from one generation to the next, but inheritance is not a necessary condition for the application of this term. Throughout history, oligarchies have often been tyrannical, relying on public obedience or oppression to exist. Aristotle pioneered the use of the term as a synonym for rule by the rich, for which another term commonly used today is plutocracy.
Link:- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oligarchy ].
The achievement of these countries named above were not the outcome of democracy at the top level, but participation of the entire population in the nation building at the grass roots level. These nations have risen (from the conditions worse than Pakistan) by the honesty of purpose of their leadership, national discipline, engagement of all segments of society from the grass roots level and rule of law. We very recently watched the example of rule of law from South Korea, where their former lady president was brought to court handcuffed, for a trial on corruption charges.
As such, our nation must embark upon the following agenda, to resurrect our economy, without any further loss of time.
1. We should not expect any different results at the end of the five term after the general elections of 2018 from what we got after the GE-2013. Why; because for any different result there has to be some change. In fact, famous scientist Albert Einstein defined INSANITY as doing the same thing over and over again, without any change and expecting different results.
Now since this country of 220 million population can not afford any further waste of time with so called democratic and dictatorship experiments, it will be prudent to look forward and immediately form a national government, which must be specifically government devoid of Hitmen of the lending agencies and controversial and dishonest people.
This homegrown government should consist of honest members from every segment of society for example labourers, peasants, teachers /professors, students, minorities, professionals from all possible fields and experts from the fields of media, law, military, diplomacy and civil administration.
2. This national government should request to all foreign donors for a 5 years moratorium, on all debt repayments by Pakistan, which is and has been a frontline state of the world’s war on terror (WOT). Here don’t forget that the world powers have totally written off loans of many countries, for much less cooperation than Pakistan, which is practically fighting their war for almost two decades; and Pakistan still NOT charging a penny for overflights in the ongoing war of terror being fought in Afghanistan.
3. 20% per annum reduction in all non-developmental government expenditures, plus total freeze in all perks paid from the national exchequer, involving foreign currency.
4. Maximum tax rate on each and every type of income in Pakistan should be fixed at 10%. This will not only bring huge revenues to the government by giving a fillip to the badly suppressed economy, but will also discourage (to a very large extent) the tax evasion tendencies.
5. Increase in productivity & exports with liberal tax and tariff relief to industry, commerce, trade and agriculture. In fact, our strong point is agriculture and our focus should be to revolutionise it with most modern technologies of smart agriculture, which easily has the potential to create five million jobs in just five years.
6. Set a target for 20% per annum increase in foreign remittances, by offering innovative incentives to expatriate Pakistanis.
7. Outsource the FBR (which will alone increase income by Rs.500 to Rs.1,000 billion) and IMPOSE FLAT 10% tax on ALL & EVERY TYPE OF INCOME (as already mentioned at 3. above), without any exemption or SRO’s (except for the Police and security forces personnel whose salaries may be doubled with expected receipt of un-precedented increase in revenues, due to the above suggestions). This will not only reduce income tax burden on salaried class (with maximum tax rate of 10%), but will also result in so much increase in revenues, to the extent that government will not require any tax imposition, in the budget. Plus, the government will be able to give tax free salaries to all the armed forces, rangers, police and other security agencies personnel, who are shedding their blood, in fighting the menace of terrorism, for our and our children’s safe TOMORROW.
8. The collective financial loss of State Enterprises is above Rs.500 billions per annum. All such entities should be immediately handed over to highly professional, dead honest, most patriotic successful Pakistani and or overseas businessmen, to head and bring in their own members of board of directors, to immediately turn around and successfully run these organisations, like world class companies, as a national cause service to the motherland, on war footings.
Few of the names which comes to mind of our world class successful Pakistani talented entrepreneurs, fully capable to serve the country in times of its dire need, are as below:
– Mr. Shahid Khan at USA, with net worth of $3.8 billion.
He owns Jacksonville Jaguars which worth $770 Million, plus a team in English Premier League ‘Fulham F.C’ which worth $300 Million and also He is the owner of Flex – N – Gate. He is the Richest person of Pakistan. He is presently living in USA. His main source of earnings are from the business of Auto parts manufacturing. He is counted as the 490th richest person in the world.
– Sir Anwar Pervaiz O.B.E
He is the founder and chairman of Bestway Group which is known as the country’s second largest cement producer and 16th largest cash and carry operator in UK, and also he is the Deputy Chairman of United Bank Limited Pakistan. He is one of the renowned investor. He is known as the great businessman in the country. His net worth is $1.5 Billion.
– Mr. Salim Ghauri is a renowned IT Entrepreneur recognised globally today. He is the founder & CEO of NetSol Technologies (1996).
– Mr. Razzaq Dawood is a highly reputed and successful industrialist and philanthropist. One of the founders of the famous LUMS university. He is founder of Descon.
– Mr. Sikandar Mustafa Khan is Chairman Millat group of companies and heads many organisations and forums. He is credited in the country for successfully heading buyout of a government run organisation which is a rare example in the industrial sector of the country in which employees of the same organisation purchased their company and created history of a terrific success story under the professional and administrative leadership of Mr. Sikandar M. Khan.
9. Pakistan’s Foreign policy is excellent in theory, perhaps the best in the world. However, this policy should be implemented in its true letter and spirit with core emphasis on PEACE particularly with its neighbours; and FP’s thrust and theme should be that any and every action must result in the economic benefit of the country.
10. Initiate steps (by imposing economic emergency) to bring each and every economic activity under document.
There is absolutely no doubt that by the dint of sheer hard work, sincerity & honesty, which is imbibed in the bones of the Pakistani work force, we can surely bring Pakistan, into the comity of 20 developed nations of the world, in the next 15-20 years.
The current leaders of Pakistan holding the destiny of this great nation, with highest manpower potential and material resources in the world, must remember the following two adages.
~ NOT FAILURE BUT SETTING LOW AIM IS A CRIME.
~ IN ORDER TO ACHIEVE THE IMPOSSIBLE IT IS PRECISELY THE UNTHINKABLE WHICH MUST BE THOUGHT.

